[RESEARCH ONLY] For research purposes only. These regime classifications are derived from a deterministic 3-layer signal framework and validated out-of-sample. Not investment advice. Past calibration metrics do not guarantee future performance.
Cross-Asset Context
Live market proxiesVIX
DXY
BRENT
GOLD
COPPER
STOXX
US10Y
Pair Macro
BoJ Rate
0.73
India VIX
17.91
ECB BS
6179.18
Bund-BTP
-0.74
Macro Calendar — High Impact
US CPI YoY
EURUSD, USDINR, USDJPY
US GDP Advance
EURUSD, USDINR, USDJPY
Systemic Regime Monitor
1.1602
GROWTH SURPRISE USD
Layer 1 — Regime Gate
Layer 2 — Directional
Layer 3 — Execution
COT positioning is the primary driver
159.19
RISK ON DOLLAR OFF
Layer 1 — Regime Gate
Layer 2 — Directional
Layer 3 — Execution
Rate differential is the primary driver
95.6900
INR APPRECIATION MODERATE
Layer 1 — Regime Gate
Layer 2 — Directional
Layer 3 — Execution
Mixed signals — no single dominant factor
Macro Regime Dispatch
2026-05-24The global FX macro summary indicates a strong US dollar, with a dollar dominance percentage of 66.67. The Polymarket odds suggest a low probability of the Fed decreasing interest rates by 50+ bps or 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting, with probabilities of 0.55% and 1.05% respectively. This aligns with the current growth surprise regime in the US dollar, with the market pricing in a strong US eco...